Fulcrum Ruminations

Saturday, July 19, 2008

It's Been Such a Long Time . . . It's Been Such a Very Long Time

Quite a while since the last post. Well over a month. Much has happened.

Barack Obama is of course the presumptive Democratic nominee for President. I believe he will win. McCain has a good record of service but he feels old and tired. His moment was 2000, not 2008. Obama is putting out a message of "change" which, even tho it's not actually defined very well, is bringing people into his camp. And since he is relatively young and not fully assimilated by the Washington political culture, he may be able to deliver. We'll see in November.

Oil prices have skyrocketed. The economy, already battered by the housing industry implosion, is looking like it's headed towards a recession. President Bush announced the opening of formerly-restricted areas to oil drilling and that's having a somewhat calming effect on prices, at least for the moment. Realistically, the only long-term fix to this problem is to move off of the oil standard entirely. There are measures that can be taken, and we're seeing some stuff already happening as the market adjusts itself. The big American car manufacturers are scaling back or ceasing production of oversized, inefficient vehicles like SUVs and there are plans for more hybrids. Small cars are coming into demand again as short-sighted American consumers finally have reason to think about fuel efficiency. At least one manufacturer has announced a hydrogen-powered car for near-future production.

Of course, the more government interferes with the market, the worse things will get. One has only to look at the ethanol subisdy business to see how easily good intentions can fall victim to the Law of Unintended Consequences.

The situation in Iraq continues to improve. Only the most foaming-at-the-mouth of the reality-impaired can now deny the success of the "surge" strategy. Afghanistan, meanwhile, is not going so well. Too many resources being directed to the Iraqi theater means not enough is being done in Afghanistan. Still, the situation remains controllable. One hopes that the next President doesn't suffer an attack of extreme foolishness leading to a precipitous action like a sudden withdrawal from Iraq before things are sufficiently stable.

The recent Heller decision by the Supreme Court, altho flawed, nevertheless established the Second Amendment as an individual right. Of course, this was patently obvious to anyone with more than a sixth-grade command of the english language all along, but it's nice to have it made official. The DC government, as is the habit of entrenched liberals, is trying its best to ignore or circumvent the court's decision. I forsee several more legal challenges to DC's grossly unconstitutional gun laws in the near future. Meanwhile, it seems likely that several other cities with such rubbish on their books will also see their attempts to trample the rights of their citizens challenged on the basis of Heller.

The FISA legislation was passed by Congress. This of course is damaging to our freedoms, being yet another short-sighted attempt to provide security at the cost of essential liberties, and we all know the famous quote regarding such things. I believe it's time to show Congress that We The People aren't going to tolerate their nonsense any longer and vote the lot of them out of office. However, I have no realistic expectation that this will happen. There are too many knee-jerk voters out there who would vote for Satan so long as old Scratch had the right letter in front of his name. And everyone always seems to think that, altho Congress is doing a poor job, their own guy is just fine and they keep sending him back.

No profound insights this time, I'm afraid. Just some random thoughts and observations.

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Blogger Diacanu said...

Whell, I think conservatives are in deeper doo-doo than they've really wrapped their heads around.

I don't see Obama's impending presidency as merely a matter of the pendulum swinging the other way, I think the last 8 years have actually destroyed conservatism itself as a philosophy.
I really believe that.

And really, I find it regrettable.
It didn't have to be this way, and it still doesn't.

But, I think there has to be a lot of rebooting, rebuilding, and soul searching on the conservative side about what got you guys into this mess.

My personal opinion, I think the only flavor of conservatism that's going to be sellable for the modern world is the libertarian wing.
At least for awhile.

Most sensable people on the fence can get on board for their core basic values I think.

Most people are for "leave me the fuck alone!".
That's a pretty easy sell, y'know?

I think.
I agreed with a lot of it for awhile, I still do in bits and pieces, not as much as I used to.
But, that's how it was sold to me, so..I think it'd work.

But um...the whole bible thumper deal, the whole using Reagan as a semi-religious fetish/totem, that ain't gonna fly.

Real problem solving has to be put to this.
You guys have your work cut out for you, I don't envy it.

I got no brilliant plans for ya.
If it were me, I'd swing it more libertarian, try to get those kids who were for Paul into your camp, wash your hands and feet of Bush with a Brillo pad for a couple election cycles, see how that goes.

But yeah...the whole Reagan revolution, that's pretty much done, time for a new page.

Good luck with that, really.

I'm not shaking pom-poms for it, but, y'know, it's not good for the discourse of the country to have either side with all the power, so, y'know, sort it out.

7:27 PM  
Blogger Lanz said...

I'd still argue that it's very much a pendulum. The damage done to the conservative school by the so-called "neocons" is no worse than what was done to the liberal side when their own extreme fringe captured that movement in the late 60s/early 70s, and they recovered sufficiently to remain a political force.

7:53 AM  
Blogger Diacanu said...

Either way, time to get out the socket wrenches and soldering irons.

10:14 AM  
Blogger Lanz said...

Well, that goes without saying. :-P

1:31 PM  

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